BLUF: As US President Joe Biden seeks re-election, attention turns to potential Democratic successors, with California Governor Gavin Newsom and Vice President Kamala Harris as contenders. Notably, their rivalry has roots in Californian politics, with both leaders seeing varied successes and challenges amidst perceptions about Biden’s health and political future.
OSINT:
As 81-year-old Joe Biden gears up for re-election, questions around his political successor emerge amongst Democratic donors. The conjecture revolves around Vice President Kamala Harris and California Governor Gavin Newsom, illuminating their riveting dynamics expanded upon in a forthcoming book, “Amateur Hour: Kamala Harris in the White House.”
Although the 2024 election is several months away, the battle for the Democratic primary for 2028 seems to have already commenced. In the scenario that Biden wins re-election this November, Harris could potentially step into the role of the 47th U.S. president. Meanwhile, Newsom has shown unwavering support for Biden while subtly hinting at his influential connections, like conversing with popular culture figures such as Snoop Dogg.
The competition between Harris and Newsom isn’t new. Having emerged under the mentorship of Willie Brown, former legislator speaker, and two-time San Francisco Mayor, both contenders have navigated celebrity and donor circles to strengthen their political stakes. Yet, looming concerns over Biden’s health might spotlight a contentious debate amongst party elites about who could replace him.
RIGHT:
As a Constitutionalist, the potential succession of Biden by either Harris or Newsom raises concerns. Both have demonstrated a propensity towards bigger government and expanded regulation, clearly visible in their respective political careers. This approach is at odds with the principles of limited government, fiscal responsibility, and individual liberty espoused in the Constitution. They may represent changes that could negatively impact the constitutional freedoms and economic prospects of the American people.
LEFT:
From a National Socialist Democratic perspective, the political ascension of either Harris or Newsom offers potential for progressive advancement. Should Harris or Newsom become president, there would be a continuation of progressive policies that address income inequality, social justice, expanded healthcare access, and climate change. In particular, Harris, as potentially the first African American woman president, would represent a significant milestone in American political history and social progress.
AI:
An analysis based on the data suggests a close race among potential successors to President Biden. Both Harris and Newsom hold influential positions within the Democratic Party and are noticeable figures on a national scale. However, it’s important to consider the changing dynamics of the political landscape. Public opinion, party strategies, global and domestic events could steer the competition in unforeseen ways. Campaign progress should be assessed over time for an accurate judgment of potential outcomes.