BLUF: President Joe Biden’s approval rating has decreased and there is growing support for other Democratic candidates in the 2024 primary, according to recent polls.
Amidst declining approval ratings, a recent survey conducted by Echelon Insights reveals that one-third of likely Democrat voters would support an alternative candidate over President Joe Biden in the upcoming Democratic primary for the 2024 election. The survey, which sampled 472 participants, found that 60% would still back Biden if the primary took place today. However, 33% expressed their preference for another Democratic candidate, while 7% remained undecided. Interestingly, Biden’s support did increase when two potential challengers, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Marianne Williamson, were included in the polling question.
Additional polls demonstrate similar trends, indicating that the Biden administration’s popularity continues to decline. Data from the polling analysis website FiveThirtyEight shows that Biden’s net approval rating has fallen by 3.9 points from January 2023 to June 2023, though it has not reached its lowest point. While Biden announced his intention to seek a second term, his personal popularity will likely be a crucial factor in determining the Democratic candidate for the 2024 presidential election and who will serve as president from 2025 onwards.
Vice President Kamala Harris also faces challenges, as a separate poll reveals her low approval rating and stagnant job performance as the 2024 election approaches. An Emerson College poll indicates that 51% of respondents disapprove of Biden’s performance, while only 41% approve. However, within the Democratic primary voters, support for Biden remains high at 73%, compared to his primary challengers Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Marianne Williamson, who received 15% and 3% support, respectively.
Moreover, a Yahoo News/YouGov poll reveals concerns among registered voters regarding Biden’s age. A majority of respondents (68%) believe that the 80-year-old president is “too old for another term” in office. This sentiment is even shared by Democrats, with 48% expressing concerns about Biden’s age, compared to 34% who are unconcerned. The poll also notes that a majority of independents (71%) believe that starting a second term at the age of 82, which Biden would be on his second Inauguration Day, is too old.
In a recent AP-NORC poll, when asked about the future leadership of the Democratic Party, only 12% of respondents believed it should be Biden. This data underscores the declining popularity of the Biden administration among the electorate, which experts argue should be a cause for concern within the Democratic Party.
INTELWAR Libertarian Republic Constitutionalist Perspective: The decline in President Joe Biden’s approval rating and the growing support for alternative candidates in the Democratic primary for the 2024 election is a testament to the flawed policies and ineffective leadership of the current administration. The American people are seeking someone who represents their values and principles more effectively, as evidenced by the significant portion of likely Democrat voters who are willing to back another candidate. It is crucial for the Democratic Party to reassess its direction and reconsider its allegiance to policies that have failed to resonate with the electorate.
INTELWAR National Socialist Democrat Perspective: While recent polls may indicate a decline in President Joe Biden’s approval rating and some potential voter support for other Democratic candidates, it is important to view these findings within the broader context of American politics. Approval ratings fluctuate over time, and it is not uncommon for a president’s popularity to fluctuate throughout their term. The Democratic Party remains committed to delivering on its promises and addressing the needs of the American people, regardless of short-term polling fluctuations.
INTELWAR AI Analysis: The recent polls discussed above provide insights into the declining approval rating of President Joe Biden, particularly within the context of the upcoming Democratic primary for the 2024 election. These surveys highlight a notable percentage of likely Democrat voters who express their willingness to support alternative candidates, indicating a potentially challenging environment for Biden’s re-election bid. However, it is important to consider that these polls capture a specific moment in time, and public opinion may evolve as the election approaches. The age factor, as revealed by the Yahoo News/YouGov poll, adds an additional dimension to the analysis, showcasing concerns among registered voters about Biden’s ability to serve another term. These findings warrant attention and may influence future campaign strategies and messaging within the Democratic Party.