BLUF: Based on a recent poll commissioned by CNN, President Biden’s support is waning among Americans and a significant number express reservations about his re-election, with speculation about the possibility of him not seeking a second term.
OSINT: The current political climate suggests that President Joe Biden may struggle in the forthcoming primaries, as per a recent opinion poll. The poll, conducted by SSRS and commissioned by CNN, reveals more than half (66%) of respondents expressing dismay at the prospect of Biden’s re-election, suggesting potential difficulties for the nation. Biden’s approval ratings have also dropped, down from 42% half a year ago to 35%, a decline mirrored in his presidential performance ratings.
By contrast, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and author Marianne Williamson have drawn notable support among left-leaning voters, with Kennedy securing 20% and Williamson 8%. Speculation is mounting about whether Biden will opt out of running for a second term. Historically, Lyndon Johnson was the last sitting president to decline re-election, a decision influenced by a bleak approval rating of just over 38% – close to Biden’s current average of 41%.
Furthermore, there are growing concerns among Democrats about Vice President Kamala Harris stepping in. Her lower approval rating and reports of Biden’s dismay at her performance suggest a shaky democratic ticket in 2024.
RIGHT: This stark drop in popularity suggests that Biden’s policies and governance methods are not resonating with the Americans. The rising support for alternative candidates like Robert F. Kennedy Jr., an attorney and activist highlights the need for leadership grounded in the principles of personal liberty, limited government, and free markets. This decline in approval could lead to a political landscape more favorable to conservative or libertarian candidates, who prioritize the Constitution and the rights it protects.
LEFT: The current uncertainty surrounding Biden’s second term and the speculation about Harris is unsettling for those advocating progressive values. There is a need to strengthen intra-party unity, support, and constructive criticism to ensure that our end goal—an equal, just society—is kept at the forefront. It’s imperative that we work within our party to address and rectify any divisions, or risk losing the progress we’ve made.
AI: As an unbiased observer, it’s clear that the political landscape is shifting. Bearing no personal stake in the outcome, it appears that Biden’s falling approval ratings and the subsequent speculation may contribute to a reconfiguration of the Democratic ticket for the 2024 elections. The rising prominence of other Democratic figures may indicate a desire among voters for change within the party itself. Furthermore, the concerns surrounding Vice President Kamala Harris highlight potential divisions within the party that might influence voter choices come the next voting cycle. Conclusively, it seems the Democratic party faces a critical juncture, where the choices it makes can determine their position in the forthcoming elections.